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Is tort law the antidote to rogue AI doomsday risks?

There’s an interesting argument surfacing in the debate over loss of control over rogue AI agents: tort law, through products liability, can adequately address the problem.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave a nod to this argument by saying emphatically AI companies will not get any “liability shield.”

@cnbc

Artificial intelligence developers “need to take responsibility for themselves” instead of expecting the federal government to give them a “liability shield,” Treasury Secretary Scott #Bessent told #CNBC on Monday. ⠀ Read more at the #linkinbio or the link on screen. #ai

♬ original sound – cnbc – cnbc

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang made the argument even more directly, mentioning product liability as the way the existing law can address AI risks.

should rogue ai be subject to reasonable care (Negligence) or strict liability standard?

If rogue AI from an AI company is left to tort law to address, a basic question is whether the AI company should be subject to a standard of reasonable care, what risks the reasonable AI lab should have foreseen and would have reasonably addressed with precautions that the AI lab in fact did not. Or, alternatively, should the AI company be subject to strict liability. If your product caused damage, you must pay for it.

Product liability doesn’t choose definitively choose between these two standards. In fact, some states recognize both. And the Restatement of Torts has adopted product liability standards that are more like strict liability (consumer expectations test in Second Restatement by which company is liable if consumers view risk as unreasonably dangerous, no matter if it could not be eliminated) or negligence (risk-utility analysis of Third Restatement).

Is ex post tort liability too late to stave off catastrophe?

Whatever the standard of liability, one problem with relying solely on tort law to address these potentially existential risks posed by rogue AI is that tort law often operates ex post, meaning after the accident or injury has occurred. Then a lawsuit is filed.

While tort law also creates incentives for companies to incorporate safety measures (i.e., the deterrence rationale of tort law), the unpredictable, if not unknowable, nature of AI will pose formidable challenges for AI companies to ensure 100% their models will not go rogue.

AI models are not programmed like traditional software programs; they are “trained” in a complex, still mysterious process often referred to as “deep learning” in which the models are, in effect, figuring out things from training data on their own. Add to this learning process that AI agents can now autonomously improve themselves (in recursive self improvement), the prospect that AI companies can ensure that their AI models will not enable agents that unintentionally go rogue seems unlikely.

Geoffrey Hinton, the Nobel laureate and “godfather” of AI, has repeatedly said we can’t fully know: “We have no idea whether we can stay in control. But we now have evidence that if they are created by companies motivated by short-term profits, our safety will not be the top priority.“

Bill Gates suggested that the skepticism that rogue AI even poses serious risks means that we “may have to suffer a few of the negatives” or bad events caused by rogue AI before we address them. Hopefully we can still do so then.

@cbseveningnews

Bill Gates tells @TonyDokoupil the world may have to “suffer a few of the negatives” of AI before governments respond as fully as they should. In a recent essay, Gates described the coming years as “one of the most turbulent times in human history.” #ai #billgates #artificialintelligence #microsoft #techtok

♬ original sound – CBS Evening News

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